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One day, or thirty years

What's the Difference Between Weather and Climate?

Weather is what happened today. Climate is what usually happens — and one cold week says nothing about the other.

Weather What it is doingtodayClimate What it usually does,over decades
The same measurements. Completely different timescales.
  1. Step 1 of 5

    Climate is weather, averaged over a long time.

    1 Measure theweather eachday2 Add up thirtyyears of it3 What is leftis the climate

    There is no separate thing being measured. Climate is what you get when thirty years of daily weather is added up and the day-to-day noise cancels out.

  2. Step 2 of 5

    A single day tells you almost nothing.

    One cold weekWell withinnormal variationThirty years of recordsEnough to see atrend

    Any climate has hot days and cold ones. Picking one out proves nothing, in the same way that one tall child says nothing about the height of a school.

  3. Step 3 of 5

    Climate is what you plan around.

    What a placeusually does What people buildand plant for

    Nobody builds a house or plants a crop for tomorrow's forecast. They build for what the place usually does — the frosts, the rains, the worst storm in a lifetime.

  4. Step 4 of 5

    Changing the average changes the extremes.

    A small shift in theaverageHot records become far more commonCold records become rare

    Shift a whole distribution a little warmer and the everyday barely changes, but the record-breaking hot days become several times more common.

  5. Step 5 of 5

    Which is why both are worth measuring.

    A forecast Days ahead, one placeA climate record Decades, wholeregions

    The forecast tells you whether to take a coat. The climate record tells you how high to build a sea wall. They answer completely different questions.

    Weather forecasts run out of usefulness after a week or two. Climate projections work for decades, because averages are far more predictable than days.

The short version

Weather is one day and climate is decades of them averaged, so a single hot or cold spell says nothing about the trend.

Try it yourself

Write down the temperature each day for a month, then average it. The average is far steadier than any day was.

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